6 results

Demand Conditions and Dynamics in the Southern and Eastern Scalefish and Shark Fishery: Empirical Investigation

Project number: 2018-017
Project Status:
Completed
Budget expenditure: $146,216.00
Principal Investigator: Sean Pascoe
Organisation: CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Hobart
Project start/end date: 4 Nov 2018 - 29 Jun 2020
Contact:
FRDC

Need

The FRDC HDR has identified the lack of information on markets and price formation in Australian fisheries as a major research gap. The need for such analyses has also been discussed within the AFMA Economics working group, as such information was seen as essential in supporting fisheries management.

This project is an attempt to reduce this research gap. In doing so, the information produced will be of benefit to fisheries managers, fishers and the broader community as we move our fisheries closer to maximising net economic returns.

The focus of this study is on the markets relevant to the Southern and Eastern Scalefish and Shark Fishery (SESSF), which is the main supplier of fresh fish to the Sydney and Melbourne markets. To date, only very limited empirical research has been conducted for these fisheries in Australia [4-6], most of which is now fairly old and is unlikely to be valid for current market conditions. Since the early 2000s the seafood market in Australia has changed, for example, due to increasing seafood imports and increasing domestic aquaculture production. Hence, market dynamics for products supplied by domestic fisheries may have also altered.

This case study was identified by the FRDC HDR as of high importance due to the current challenges facing the fisher in terms of unfilled quotas. One potential contributing reason that quotas are not being taken is that to do so would result in lower prices; of potential benefit to consumers but not to producers. Instead, the lower catches may be supporting higher prices. The outcomes of this project can provide insights into the extent of to which the marker is contributing to quota undercatch.

The study will focus on the impact of changes in supply on the price received on the markets. While the potential response of fishers to these changes in price (including avoiding large catches) is also of relevance to fishery managers, this will require further bioeconomic modelling work that is beyond the scope of this study, but may be seen as a high priority for future research.

Objectives

1. Estimate the degree of integration between the different species and between the markets for fresh fish in Sydney and Melbourne
and
2. Estimate the short term and long term effects of changes in quantity supplied of key species in the Southern and Eastern Scalefish and Shark Fishery (SESSF) on the price received on the Sydney and Melbourne fish markets

Final report

ISBN: 978-1-925994-20-9
Authors: Sean Pascoe Peggy Schrobback Eriko Hoshino and Robert Curtotti
Final Report • 2021-02-01 • 5.37 MB
2018-017-DLD.pdf

Summary

This final report, a collaboration between economists from CSIRO, CQU and ABARES, is the first detailed analysis of the interrelationship between fish prices on the Sydney and Melbourne fish markets. In addition, the study derived empirical estimates of the own and cross-price flexibilities for the main species on the Sydney Fish Market.
Data for the Melbourne market were limited following the closure of the central market in 2010. Despite this, the results of the cointegration analysis indicate that the Sydney and Melbourne markets were highly integrated over the period of the available data. That is, prices for a given species on each market tended to move together. Hence, the two markets can effectively be considered a single market, at least for the key Southern and Eastern Scalefish and Shark Fishery species examined. Differences in prices on the markets can still exist due to differences in transport costs, but price variations beyond these transportation cost differences are temporary.
On the Sydney market, prices of most species were found to be not cointegrated (i.e., not substitutes), but some cointegration was observed. In particular, Blue-eye Trevalla was cointegrated with several species suggesting this may be a market leader or at least a highly influential species in the market. 
Imports were also found to be cointegrated with many of the species on the Sydney Fish Market, particularly imports of fresh fish. This indicates a strong substitution potential between imports and domestically caught fish, with increased import supply most likely having a negative impact on prices of Southern and Eastern Scalefish and Shark Fishery species.
From the results of the aggregated demand model, the increase in the quantity of imports has had a negative effect on the price of wild-caught species on the Sydney Fish Market over the last two decades, supporting the results of the cointegration analysis. Imports of fresh fish was found to have had a significant negative impact on the prices of species in the lower valued group in both the short and long term. While no short-term impact on high valued species was found, a small but significant negative impact was found in the long term. This suggests direct competition and potential for substitution between imports of fresh fish and the lower valued domestic fish species. In contrast, imports of frozen fish were found to complement lower valued species. That is, increased imports of frozen fish were related to increased prices for these lower valued species. No significant relationship between frozen fish and higher valued species was found. 
The increase in salmon production was also found to have had a negative impact of prices of both groups (high and low valued) on the Sydney Fish Market, more so that imports. 
At the species level, own-price flexibilities were generally found to be between -0.3 and -0.6, indicating that prices change less than proportionally with quantity landed (i.e., are relatively price inflexible). That is, a 10 per cent increase in quantity landed, for example, of each species would result in a 3 to 6 percent decrease in its own price. Cross-price flexibilities – the impact of landings of one species on the price of another – were also found to be small, mostly between 0 and -0.1. 

Project products

Brochure • 2021-02-01 • 2.89 MB
2018-017 - How demand analysis can help improve fisheries and aquaculture performance - SUMMARY BROCHURE.pdf

Summary

As it is currently applied in Australia, fisheries management is mainly focused on ensuring the sustainability of the resource while maximising the output from the fishery. This is largely achieved through setting total allowable catch (TAC) or equivalent effort restrictions to limit the quantity of landings from the fishery. In jurisdictions where economic outcomes are also important, more conservative catch and effort limits are generally set in recognition of the additional cost of harvesting the resource as stock size declines.
Conclusions: Changes in the quantity produced at the level of the industry can have an impact on the prices that producers receive. These price changes may extend beyond just one species in question, impacting also on potential substitute species. 
The critical measures of this change are the own and cross-price flexibilities. Own-price flexibilities define the percentage change in the price of a species due to a 1 per cent change in landings or production, while cross-price flexibilities represent the percentage change in a different species due to the production change of a given species.
Individually, own and cross-price flexibilities are generally small. In the case of key fish species, they are mostly between -0.5 and zero, indicating a less than proportional change in price with landings or production. However, this means that changes in revenues from, say, a TAC increase will result in a less than proportional change in revenue, and with cross-price impacts also, increasing TACs may result in negligible revenue improvements. Fisheries managers in particular need to be aware of these changes, as increasing a TAC does not necessarily mean better returns to the fishery. Conversely, higher returns may be earned at lower levels of catch due to the combination of higher prices and less cost in catching the fish.
While lower prices may be bad for producers, lower fish prices provide benefits to consumers. Hence, what is optimal for the fishery or aquaculture industry may not be optimal for the community overall. Including consumer benefits into economic analyses underlying TAC and other decisions that impact production is an area of further consideration by fisheries and aquaculture managers.
Communities
PROJECT NUMBER • 2017-010
PROJECT STATUS:
COMPLETED

A re-examination of underlying model assumptions and resulting abundance indices of the Fishery Independent Survey (FIS) in Australia’s SESSF

The model-based Fishery Independent Survey (FIS) for the Southern and Eastern Scalefish and Shark Fishery (SESSF) was developed in the lead up to the first survey in 2008 and is unique in a fisheries context in that it differs from a random stratified design, thereby allowing considerable...
ORGANISATION:
CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Hobart

Developing improved methods for stock assessment in spatially complex fisheries using Blue-eye Trevalla as a case study

Project number: 2013-015
Project Status:
Completed
Budget expenditure: $241,276.00
Principal Investigator: Alan Williams
Organisation: CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Hobart
Project start/end date: 30 Jun 2013 - 2 Oct 2015
Contact:
FRDC

Need

There is considerable scope to enhance spatially-based management arrangements for species with broad or disjunct distributions, or species that are targeted by different gears in different areas or habitats. For example, current SESSF management arrangements do not consider stock structure in Blue-eye Trevalla, although it ranges from WA to Queensland and beyond Australian waters, and preliminary analysis showed some evidence for separate stocks between the SESSF and ECDW seamounts. There is an immediate need to develop and incorporate new spatially-based arrangements into management of Blue-eye Trevalla in response to complex spatial patterns in the fishery that include a change of fishing methods through time, whale interactions increasing in some areas, re-location of effort into underutilized locations (e.g. ECDF seamounts), and the series of recent and planned area closures that include Commonwealth Marine Reserves (CMR) in the GAB, off the eastern seaboard and on the offshore Tasmantid Seamount Chain, and fishery closures being implemented by AFMA and NSW Fisheries to project Harrisson’s and Southern Dogfish. There is a more general need to assess options for managing separate stocks of other species – such as regionalising TAC’s – and to evaluate options against EBFM performance measures that include economic and environmental indicators.

Objectives

1. Define Blue-eye Trevalla subpopulation structure, especially between the SESSF, ECDF and outside Australia’s EZ, using otolith elemental and stable isotopic chemistry.
2. Evaluate the potential of other biological data (age, size frequency and maturation stage) to substantiate or refute potential subpopulation spatial patterns.
3. Infer patterns of dispersal and recruitment using otolith chemistry in conjunction with ocean circulation models.
4. Develop methods to develop management options that capture the spatially and temporally complex Blue-eye Trevalla fishery and which account for extensive recent fishery and marine reserve closures.
5. Use Blue-eye Trevalla as a model to develop and evaluate options for other species.

Final report

ISBN: 978-1-4863-0756-2
Author: Alan Williams

Trial and validation of Respondent-Driven Sampling as a cost-effective method for obtaining representative catch, effort, social and economic data from recreational fisheries

Project number: 2012-021
Project Status:
Completed
Budget expenditure: $350,000.00
Principal Investigator: Tim P. Lynch
Organisation: CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Hobart
Project start/end date: 13 Jan 2013 - 5 Dec 2015
Contact:
FRDC

Need

Increased affordability and sophistication of fishing technologies (e.g. GPS, electric reels) have resulted in increased efficiency and diversification of the recreational fishing sector. Fishers are increasingly targeting some species of commercial and/or conservation importance (e.g. SBT, mako shark, striped marlin, blue eye trevalla), leading to inter-sector conflict. Therefore, reliable recreational catch, effort, social and economic data are required for stock assessment and equitable resource sharing.

Unfortunately, obtaining representative data from specialised or out-of-frame components of recreational fisheries (e.g. sport fisheries, non-licenced fishers) using traditional methods is expensive and often ineffective because these components of the fishery: 1) lack a complete sampling frame to recruit fishers to surveys, 2) are comprised of fishers who are too rare to intercept in the wider community, and 3) are spatially and/or temporally diffuse. Therefore, alternative cost-effective methods are required.

Epidemiologists routinely survey rare or 'hard-to-reach' populations (e.g. HIV carriers) by penetrating social networks using Respondent-Driven Sampling (RDS). RDS works by eligible subjects receiving incentives for survey participation and recruiting other eligible peers, who then recruit other eligible peers, and so on. After weighting each subject's social network size and other known biases, RDS can generate a completely representative sample of subjects from a hard-to-reach population.

RDS was identified by leading recreational fishing survey design experts in FRDC project 2007/014 as having the potential to solve many of the problems researchers currently face in trying to obtain representative samples from recreational fisheries. RDS has not been used previously in fisheries science, but its potential application to recreational fisheries is detailed by Griffiths et al. (2010). The aim of this project is to fill a national and international need to evaluate and customise RDS for sampling hard-to-reach components of recreational fisheries, by using the specialised Tasmanian recreational set-line licence fishery as a case study.

Objectives

1. To document the recruitment processes and assess the efficacy of Respondent-Driven Sampling for obtaining representative information from hard-to-reach recreational fisheries that lack a complete sampling frame
2. To develop a capture-recapture model for use with Respondent-Driven Sampling surveys to estimate the population size of hard-to-reach recreational fishers
3. To quantitatively evaluate the "RDS-Recapture" complemented survey design for obtaining demographic information and estimates of total catch and effort from hard-to-reach recreational fisheries

Final report

ISBN: 978-0-646-97960-1
Authors: Shane Griffiths Tim Lynch Jeremy Lyle Simon Wotherspoon Lincoln Wong Carlie Devine Kenneth Pollock William Sawynok Anthea Donovan Mibu Fischer Sharon Tickell and Chris Moeseneder
Final Report • 2017-09-29 • 6.62 MB
2012-021-DLD.pdf

Summary

The objective of FRDC project 2012/021, “Trial and validation of Respondent-Driven Sampling as a cost-effective method for obtaining representative catch, effort, social and economic data from recreational fisheries” was to trial and validate the chain referral sampling method, Respondent Driven Sampling (RDS), for obtaining representative data from specialised ‘hard-to-reach’ components of recreational fisheries. This project aimed to test this new method by undertaking a RDS survey with a population of fishers who were part of a complete licence list frame. The characteristics of the sample (e.g. age, gender) from the RDS survey would then be compared to another survey collected via random stratified sampling drawn from the licence list frame. This would allow comparison of the results between methods to determine if the RDS survey can produce a representative sample of the population.

Telephone surveys have long been regarded as a cost-effective method for large-scale population. However, in recent years, a decline in landline registration, increasing exclusive use of landlines for internet connections, and changes in population demography has led to a decline in the representativeness of the landline sampling frame on the overall population. In addition, with a limited number of recreational fisheries requiring a licence—many of which also have various exemptions— a secondary list-sampling frame is not always available to researchers to select a representative sample of fishers for a survey. These factors contribute to a degradation of the ability of scientists to yield a representative sample from the population via direct telephone polling, and highlight a need to explore new methods for more effective sampling of recreational fisheries. A trial of the RDS method is needed as it may be one of the few methods that can cost-effectively attain reliable data from specialised fisheries that lack a complete licence list frame of participants. It may also be particularly useful in situations where the participants are too rare within the wider population to be sampled in sufficient numbers using traditional survey methods.

RDS is a peer-driven recruitment process initiated by a small number (4-6) of members, or ‘seeds’, from the target population who each complete a questionnaire. On completion, each person is given a small 'initial reward' and 2-3 uniquely coded coupons to pass to eligible peers. The person is instructed they will receive a 'secondary reward' if their peers recruit to the survey. When each peer is recruited and completes a questionnaire, they are also given two coupons to pass to other eligible peers. This chain-referral process continues and produces rapidly expanding recruitment chains until the sample reaches ‘equilibrium’, whereby the proportion of population characteristics (e.g. gender, age) no longer change with further sampling.

The Tasmanian government issues a number of specialised recreational fishing licences without exemptions, which provided an opportunity to trial RDS and assess its efficacy against the known population of licence holders. These include the Tasmanian recreational set-line and rock lobster fisheries. The set line fishery is specialised in terms of the species targeted and the gear used (mainly longline). The number of licence holders is around 4000. The Tasmanian recreational rock lobster fishery again has no licence exception but is larger with around 18,000 licences issued per year.

We used the RDS method to study three populations. First, we undertook a pilot survey of a staff population at the Ecosciences Precinct (ESP), Brisbane to optimise sampling and operational procedures and validate the mechanics of the RDS method. ESP housed 827 staff at the time of the survey representing CSIRO, four government departments, and three universities. This urban and socially cohesive population experienced a range of hardships during a forced re-location to ESP from various locations around Brisbane. As such, the pilot survey of their experiences during the relocation resulted in a high level of engagement in the process. The mechanics of the survey performed as planned, with ‘waves’ of respondents being recruited from an initial seeding of 7 individuals. In total, 394 coupons were issued and 197 interviews completed. All but 10 of the respondents originated from the one seed.

Subsequently, two field trials of RDS within the Tasmanian recreational set-line fishery and rock lobster fishery were conducted. As a precursor to these trials, a workshop with recreational fisheries representatives was undertaken to explore the logistical details associated with implementing an RDS survey. The workshop was attended by international RDS experts, fisheries scientists, statisticians, a fishery manager, and recreational fishing group representatives. One key recommendation from the workshop was to undertake focus group meetings with set-line fishers to seek feedback on specific aspects of the survey method (e.g., incentive amount and type), which were undertaken in Devonport and Hobart.

The survey of Tasmanian recreational set-line fishers was conducted between November 2014 and April 2015. We developed a survey tool and database “RDS-Recfish”, for implementing RDS surveys, managing coupons and incentives. A prototype of this tool was trialled at the focus group workshops and refined following feedback on the questionnaire and survey structure. RDS-Recfish was then used to implement the first RDS survey. Initially, total of six seeds were recruited to start the survey, based on their geographic location and fishing club membership status. However, long sequence chains of RDS recruits did not occur from these seeds. From 27 recruitment coupons that were circulated by the seeds, only three fishers were recruited. A follow-up survey indicated seeds had no issues distributing coupons to other fishers, however many noted ‘obvious scepticism’ when trying to explain the research objectives to potential recruits.

The second field trial of RDS involved the Tasmanian recreational rock lobster fishery. Based on the findings from our set-line study, we adapted our methods to increase the likelihood of developing long recruitment chains that expanded into the general population of fishers. This involved dramatically expanding the number of initial seeds to 41 fishers over multiple waves of recruitment, seeding across potential barriers to recruitment—namely geography and gear type—and undertaking personal briefings of seeds and a follow up survey to better understand psychological aspects of the recruitment process. While our follow up survey indicated that most seeds had passed on their coupons, only five eligible fishers were recruited from the 135 coupons distributed.

While there appeared to be no issue with distribution of the coupons by the seeds the following key mechanic of the method, which required the coupon recruited fisher to make a phone call on their own initiative back to the researcher, rarely occurred. A level of psychological inertia was not overcome by these fishers, as they were not sufficiency motivated to make this call. We think that in additional to the generous monetary reward offered, another strong non-monetary incentive may also have been required, such as was the case in the ESP study, to improve the survey response rate.

There has been widespread success of RDS in a range of highly connected hard-to-reach populations (e.g., illicit drug users) in densely populated urban settings. We think that in addition to fishers not be motivated by the solidarity of stigmatisation - they are after all participating in a legal and licenced activity with strong cultural roots – potentially their low frequency of social interactions may have been a further impediment to their motivation to make contact with the researcher.  In other RDS research including our office block EPS study close, repeated close social interactions with seeds can provides ‘peer pressure’ or ‘group-mediated social control’ to encourage participation in the survey.

Another potential impediment was the choice of contact technology. In addition to declines in land-line use there has been a further recent shift towards text based communication by the general population. The survey was dependent on voice phone calls, and paper coupons. While other methods, such as SMS, could be used to distribute coupons codes, fishers still needed to ring a phone number and leave a voice message. An option to establish communication via various on-line text forms (i.e. social media) may have improved the response. 

A further possibility for the failure, particularly of the set line case study, was scepticism among fishers that the use of research survey data will be used as a justification for implementing management measures to limit their fishing opportunities. Such negative attitudes towards research have the potential to spread through the social networks of fishers to inhibit RDS recruitment. However, in the rock lobster fisher study, there was strong support for the science aims of the work both by seeds and during the follow up survey.

Finally, we were not able to test the representativeness of the data as we could not get the mechanics of the RDS method to work for our two case study fisheries. However a simulation of the RDS methods suggested that differential recruitment by seeds of fishers can lead to substantial bias and this bias cannot be detected from the RDS sample alone.

Despite the comprehensive preparation and collective efforts of our team, international RDS experts, recreational fisheries survey design experts, fishery managers and recreational fishing advisory members, RDS did not function as anticipated in two distinct recreational fisheries trials. Through the field trials, the simple act of calling the project’s freecall telephone number appeared to present the greatest impediment to recruitment from the many fishers who accepted a coupon from their peers to participate in the surveys. Our method may not have also accounted for other specific psycho-social factors that created impediments to recruitment. Further work focusing on the motivations of fishers to participate in research surveys, their preferred communication technology, their psychological responses to incentive types, and the social inertia that needs to be overcome to recruit one’s peers, may guide researchers to continue to adapt interview methods for recreational fisheries research.

Without a highly motivated population of socially closely connected fishers, RDS does not appear to be cost-effective method for obtaining representative catch, effort, social and economic data from recreational fisheries.

Future trials of similar methods for surveying recreational fisheries may consider using other types of survey administration that do not require direct voice contact with staff (e.g. self-administered surveys online via social media) may result in more recruitment. However, such methods need careful consideration and testing prior to use since they may introduce a suite of poorly understood sampling biases that compromise the representativeness of the sample.

A repeat of previous economic surveys of the recreational rock lobster fishery, based on a representative sample of the licence frame, could provide an interesting assessment of high value placed on landing lobsters.    

Supporting sustainable fishery development in the GAB with interpreted multi-scale seabed maps based on fishing industry knowledge and scientific survey data

Project number: 2006-036
Project Status:
Completed
Budget expenditure: $291,930.00
Principal Investigator: Alan Williams
Organisation: CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Hobart
Project start/end date: 14 Oct 2006 - 30 Jun 2009
Contact:
FRDC

Need

The valuable offshore trawl (GABBTF) and non-trawl (GHATF) components of the SESSF fishery are expanding in the GAB, but there are no maps of this large area (~500 miles wide) at scales relevant to fishery use and management. Interpreted maps are needed to underpin sustainable development, particularly because they are relevant to developing area closures. These form a key part of AFMA’s strategic management planning for the fishery - including implementing the recommendations of recently completed Ecological Risk Assessments. The relevant scales when evaluating options for spatial management are: fishing grounds (areas with characteristic patterns of bottom types, fish communities and use), features (including submarine canyons and large rocky banks) and terrains - sediments, rocky bottom and broken bottom that make them up.

Maps alone will not usefully inform management decisions. There is also a need to interpret the structure and functions of their component parts, e.g. individual fishing grounds or certain habitat types. This enables stakeholders to understand their role for fishery production, their value to the fishery, and their natural values – including for threatened species and unique habitats. A wide range of data and knowledge can be collated from industry and scientific surveys. The proposed project will provide the mechanism needed to acquire, collate and map the information, then evaluate and summarise it for management purposes while preserving the confidential nature of industry data.

The project is based on a model used successfully in a previous study. The methodology – including data security measures - and infrastructure (spatial database, portable camera system) is largely in place. This project will build on lessons learned from the previous project (see Risk Analysis).

Objectives

1. Acquire, collate and map information on the spatial extent and use of the GAB seabed habitats from multi-sector fishing industry and scientific sources.
2. Validate and complement industry information gathered for Objective 1 by ground-truth sampling with cameras from a chartered industry vessel.
3. Integrate information from Objectives 1 and 2 to generate interpreted seabed maps at scales relevant to management needs: fishing grounds, features, terrains and bottom types.
4. Quantify habitat vulnerability using the ERA methodology and upload a representative set of video and photographic images into the CSIRO seabed image database
5. Interpret and summarise this information to permit informed area management (spatial and temporal) of the GAB
6. Evaluate and summarise this information in relation the recommendations of the strategic assessment of the fishery and for stock assessments
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