Tactical Research Fund: Adapting to change - minimising uncertainty about the effects of rapidly-changing environmental conditions on the Queensland Coral Reef Fin Fish Fishery
TC Hamish (Category 5) traversed the southern Great Barrier Reef (GBR) in early March 2009, surpassing all previous storms in intensity, duration and maximum track length over reef structure. Hamish neatly bisected the major line fishing grounds of the Coral Reef Fin Fish Fishery (CRFFF), crossing the GBR east of Bowen then drifting southeast through the GBR southern section. The section of the GBR affected historically produces 70% of the annual landings taken by the commercial fleet as well as supports significant charter businesses and recreational fishing opportunities.
Commercial fishers were first to witness structural damage caused by TC Hamish with many reefs reported as receiving extreme damage (loss of live coral). Swift response by AIMS long term monitoring confirmed these reports showing some Mackay reefs suffering reductions from >75% to 10% live coral cover.
TC Hamish may have also caused marked decreases in Sea Surface Temperature (SST) similar to TC Justin (March 1997). TC Justin was a long-lived (24 days) system with an unusually large cloud mass, which cooled SST by 40C. Anecdotally, the unseasonal water cooling depressed CPUE of coral trout, and was responsible for an anomalous northward shift in the distribution of red throat emperor.
Within two weeks of Cyclone Hamish, the commercial CRFFF fleet began adapting to the poor fishing and low CPUE in southern GBR waters, with some vessels relocating to northern unaffected fishing grounds (thereby causing potential indirect consequences for northern fishers) and others choosing to remain “tied-up” to the wharf.
A significant threat of global climate change is that the frequency of intense storms may increase. Investigating the effects of extreme weather events on fishing and associated industries is a high priority. The need also extends to exploring the adaptive ability of all stakeholder groups in circumventing the negative impacts of such events.
Final report
With the severity and intensity of tropical cyclones predicted to increase with global climate change (Webster et al. 2005), the need to understand the effects of these events on fisheries production is paramount. The northern tropical margin of the Australian continent is subject to tropical cyclone influence each monsoon season. Although the increased rainfall that accompanies these events may have positive benefits for some fisheries production (e.g. Halliday et al. 2008; Staunton-Smith et al. 2004), the influence of the many other biophysical changes that accompany tropical cyclones (eg: habitat alteration and water temperature fluctuations) is less certain. One fishery for which anecdote reports negative influences of tropical cyclone impact is the Queensland Coral Reef Fin Fish Fishery (CRFFF). Prior to the impacts of severe TC Hamish in March 2009, popular anecdote reported that the influence of TC Justin (March 1997) on catch rate of the primary target species of the commercial sector, common coral trout (Plectropomus leopardus), were particularly negative and long lasting (up to twelve months). Somewhat surprising, the depressed catch rate of trout was accompanied by a noticeable increase in catch rates of red throat emperor (the secondary target species of the CRFFF) that was acknowledged though not quantified by Leigh et al. (2006).
The influence of tropical cyclones on the performance of the CRFFF is an annual event, though mostly restricted to loss of potential fishing days due to the inclement and unpredictable weather that accompanies the monsoon season. The ‘average’ cyclone that impacts the Great Barrier Reef World Heritage Area (GBRWHA), within which the CRFFF operates, is generally short lived and crosses the reef structure rapidly in an east to west direction. With the last two decades, most tropical cyclones impacting the GBRWHA have been low intensity systems (category 1 or 2). The influence of these types of systems on reef structure (coral coverage and diversity) and associated small-bodied reef fish communities has been well documented (e.g. Wilson et al. 2009; Emslie et al. 2008). However, as the monitoring used for these reports focuses initially on corals and secondarily small-bodied fish communities, the ability to measure changes in large-bodied reef fish communities is either not attempted, or compromised. As such, no robust assessment has been completed to understand the changes in abundance and availability of CRFFF primary target species in response to cyclone impacts.
TC Hamish impacted the southern section of the GBRWHA in March 2009, and quickly galvanised fishers, managers (both fisheries and Marine Park) and research scientists with a common need to The project outputs clearly demonstrate catch rates within the CRFFF can be significantly and adversely affected by some cyclone events. Understanding the biophysical drivers of these changed catch rates is difficult due to the variable and unique nature of each cyclone event. However, it is clear from project outputs that the negative effects of a cyclone may significantly alter catch rates and that these effects may linger for at least twelve months post-event. The gradual dominance and reliance for economic viability of the commercial sector on live coral trout, has stifled pre-existing adaptive capacity. The infrastructure investments and fishing behaviours of fishers targeting live coral trout are not amenable to changing market places; an ability that may well offer some adaptive capacity to the commercial sector of the CRFFF. In contrast, recreational and charter fishing sectors with their diversified fishing and targeting practices are immune to cyclone influence.
A suggested pro forma for an action plan to track, adaptation plan and possibly mitigate the negative influences of future unique cyclone events is a draft proposal at this time, and will need to be strengthened based on the outcomes from two working groups formed during the last six months. Considerations for further research should include: (1) Identifying the most appropriate data recording system for the CRFFF that will allow timely interrogation of catch data that is not available currently; (2) Canvassing options for building adaptive capacity into a fishery that is currently highly vulnerable to change due to economic reliance on a single species destined for a single market place; and (3) Better understanding the possible drivers of the sustained changes in ecological behaviours of reef fish following cyclone passage.
Stock size of beche-de-mer, and recruitment patterns and gene flow in the black teatfish on the Great Barrier Reef
Physical effects of hauling on seagrass beds (stage 2) (an extension to 95/149)
In discussions with estuarine hauling crews, it is clear that they avoid landing their nets in areas of dense seagrass. This potentially confounds the results obtained in the survey of the 9 estuaries. Given that we must sample sites where hauling occurs and hence where the nets are landed (logically), there can be at least two ways of interpreting consistent differences in shoot density and/or leaf-lengths between the control and hauled sites. First, the results provide some evidence that hauling has an impact on seagrass beds. Second, that the results simply reflect industry's choice to land their nets in areas of reduced amounts of seagrass and hence hauling has little or no impact. Clearly, if this project is to make some recommendations regarding the impacts of hauling and hence its management, we should, if at all possible, avoid concluding the research with these 2 alternatives at the centre of debate.
This seemingly intractable situation is not as hopeless as it would first appear. Previous research (e.g. Larkum et al., 1984) has shown that Zostera capricorni undergoes a cycle of growth in the spring and summer months followed by a dieback in the autumn and winter months. Given that the sampling for the survey has already been completed i.e. well prior to the seagrass attaining maximal shoot densities and leaf-lengths, it would be possible to take advantage of this period of enhanced growth to overcome the shortfalls discussed above. To do so would require that the the same sites be sampled again in late summer because if hauling was having an effect on shoot density and/or leaf-length it would be more clearly evident at this time of year. Furthermore, as we would have a baseline dataset we would predict that the change in shoot density and/or leaf-length from time 1 to time 2 would differ at the hauled compared to the control sites This would occur because the growth of the seagrass would be unaffected at the control sites where it would reach maximal shoot densities and leaf-lengths compared to the hauled site where it would not.
Clearly, the additional sampling described above would require an extension of the project beyond its current completion date in December, 1996. It is envisaged that a further 6 months would be required to complete the additional work necessary. It is important to note that this increased cost of identifying the potential impacts of hauling on seagrass will better serve the fishing industry as the greater scientific rigor gained will reduce the likelihood that the industry is blamed for changes that are not of its own making. Moreover, this approach would likely be the most cost-effective solution to overcome the potentially confounded result that will stem from the existing sampling. A far more costly solution would be to carry out a large-scale field experiment over a number of years to provide 'Before' and 'After" data for hauled and control sites.