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Biological parameters for stock assessments in South Eastern Australia – an information and capacity uplift

Project number: 2022-032
Project Status:
Current
Budget expenditure: $766,806.00
Principal Investigator: Alistair Hobday
Organisation: CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Hobart
Project start/end date: 28 Feb 2023 - 27 Feb 2027
:
TAGS
Stock Assessment
Rac Cmwth
Fisheries Management
Climate Change
Artificial Intelligence

Need

South-east Australian waters are recognised as ocean warming hotspots and overall, Australian waters have warmed faster than the global average (Hobday and Pecl 2013, IPCC 2019). Key components of the productivity of marine fish (growth, maturity, and recruitment) are expected to be changing in response to shifts in climate and it is entirely possible that there have been changes in fundamental productivity parameters for Australian stocks.
The regularity with which the biological parameters that are used in stock assessments are evaluated and updated varies considerably among the species that are targeted in Commonwealth Fisheries. Assessment of changes in these parameters is limited largely to sensitivity analyses consisting of exploring alternate time-invariant values of natural mortality, maturity and stock recruitment steepness at values close to those used in the base-case assessment and generally agreed upon as within acceptable ranges of values. Recently an evaluation of the provenance of the biological parameters used in stock assessments found that species from the SESSF contained the largest number of parameters where provenance could not be ascertained from the literature and that SESSF species comprised over 50% of those species where biological parameters were determined to be more than 20 years old (FRDC project 2019-010, Evans et al. 2022). When plausible changes to biological parameters (such as those that might occur under environmental change) were explored quite substantial changes in biomass estimates for key target species occurs. This means that parameter mis-specification, such as due to relying on older parameter estimates that encode predator-prey and other ecosystem processes from a system state that has since changed, could be a real issue for assessments in the SESSF.
The reliance of current assessments on what is likely to be out-of-date information leads to considerable uncertainty, which cannot be easily quantified that then propagates into management decisions. Without an understanding of changes in biological parameters and how these changes might impact assessments, it is difficult (if not impossible) to evaluate whether current management measures are ensuring sustainability. Overall, the project recommended that updating parameters in stock assessments, modifying base cases, or more heavily drawing on results from sensitivity analysis in discussion of stock assessment results would be strongly advisable, especially in regions where large environmental shifts are known to be occurring, such as the SESSF.
The RV Investigator voyages to be conducted in 2023 and 2024 under the CSIRO led SEA-MES project provide a unique opportunity to access relevant biological samples that could be used to update the biological parameters identified in FRDC Project 2019-010 as a high priority (age, growth, reproduction, stock structure and although not directly used in stock assessments themselves but having significant influence on parameters that are used in assessments (such as growth and mortality), diet and food webs). These voyages have a focus on the marine ecosystem that supports the SESSF and a number of the hypotheses being posed by the study are focused on target species within the SESSF and their food webs. This will result in significant sampling of those species , with the co-benefit that there will be new samples available for the contemporary estimation of key biological parameters and evaluation of the representativeness of parameters being used in stock assessments (and with sufficient sample numbers to ensure robust updated estimates). These voyages also provide a unique opportunity to build capacity in at sea sampling, exposure to ecosystem level sampling design and post-voyage biological analyses. By linking post voyage analyses with the direct needs of both stock assessments and ecosystem models used in the SESSF, the project provides opportunities for building deeper understanding of the use of biological parameters in stock assessments, and direct application of fisheries biology.

Objectives

1. Develop, in collaboration and consultation with key research and fishery stakeholders a series of projects involving postgraduate students and early-mid career researchers that directly address priority areas for updating biological parameters for target species in the SESSF and understanding the implications of changing parameters on the fishery
2. Reduce uncertainties in stock assessments for the SESSF through the updating of biological parameters and understanding of key interactions between and drivers of change in biological parameters
3. Progress methods development associated with ascertaining biological parameters and progressing stock assessments to increase efficiencies, reduce time and financial costs, expand applicability and reduce uncertainties in stock assessments
4. Build fisheries capability across multiple pathways to support the ongoing sustainability of high quality fisheries research
Environment
Industry
Environment
Environment
Environment
Environment
PROJECT NUMBER • 2014-204
PROJECT STATUS:
COMPLETED

Implications of current spatial management measures on AFMA ERAs for habitats

In this project, CSIRO researchers implemented the first Australia-wide spatial approach to quantifying the exposure of mapped seabed assemblages to the footprints of Commonwealth demersal trawl fisheries, as well as their spatial protection in areas closed to trawling. These outputs are assisting...
ORGANISATION:
CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Hobart
TAGS
Survey
Environment
Environment
PROJECT NUMBER • 2001-097
PROJECT STATUS:
COMPLETED

Aquafin CRC - Atlantic Salmon Aquaculture Subprogram: system-wide environmental issues for sustainable salmonid aquaculture

A 3D primitive equation model has been developed for the Huon Estuary and D’Entrecasteaux Channel to examine the hydrodynamics of the region. Using a nesting process the region could be represented with high resolution while incorporating forcing due to wind stress, tides, low frequency sea...
ORGANISATION:
CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Hobart
TAGS
Environmental Impact
SPECIES
Southern Bluefin Tuna

Cumulative impacts across fisheries in Australia's marine environment

Project number: 2018-020
Project Status:
Completed
Budget expenditure: $391,000.00
Principal Investigator: Beth Fulton
Organisation: CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Hobart
Project start/end date: 17 Mar 2019 - 29 Nov 2020
:
TAGS
Sustainability
Rac Cmwth
Marine Park
Habitat
Fishing Effort

Need

The need for cumulative impact assessment (CIA) is increasingly being recognized. The development process for Australia's Harvest and Bycatch Policies, and their associated guidelines have reinforced the need for assessment of cumulative impacts, and the EPBC Act has also explicitly required consideration of cumulative impacts.

Where multiple activities occur or are planned, an understanding of their combined effects on the environment is necessary to address policy requirements and achieve sustainability. The concept of cumulative impact assessment is not new – indeed cumulative assessment has been recognized for many years, and a range of methods have been proposed around the globe. However, no methodology for undertaking cumulative assessments has been accepted nationally or globally. In addition to considering the impacts across all fishing sectors (commercial, recreational, indigenous, as required by recent changes to the Fisheries Administration Act 1991) and all fisheries, there is also an increasing need to consider other users of marine resources and coastal waters (e.g. renewable energy, shipping etc), especially where space crowding may be an issue.

Target species stock assessments typically consider the species of interest as well as other sources of fishing mortality (e.g. discards), but they do not usually consider their effects on other fisheries sectors or the effects of other sectors on the focal fishery. CIA methods therefore need to consider interactive and indirect effects. To date, interactive effects are often viewed as additive (simple linear addition of one impact to another) with little consideration given to synergistic, antagonistic or non-linear effects. While the ERAEF toolbox used for assessment of bycatch and protected species has some potential options for cumulative impacts (e.g. SAFE method), at this stage they are insufficient for moving to the scales and complexities across multiple fishing sectors and fisheries.

Thus, sustainable fisheries management requires new approaches that consider all sectors and all fisheries and how they impact the environment. Such CIAs will be challenging given that empirical data are often lacking - a dedicated research effort is needed.

Objectives

1. Undertake a two part review. This first part being to review existing cumulative impacts literature on methods applied elsewhere in the world, to produce design principles for a scalable cumulative impacts approach
and a synthesis of current benchmark methods and gaps in methods that must be filled to deliver Australian needs. And the second part being a global ERA review to identify cumulative impacts seen in other fisheries, with the specific focus of this review as specified by the AFMA led ERA/ERM working group – including looking: (i) at the assessment methods used elsewhere
(ii) their information needs and context
(iii) the strengths and weaknesses of the different approaches
(iv) synergies and efficiencies that can be adopted
and (v) recommend cost-effect ERA/ERM integration of additional methods that have been found to be appropriate given an AFMA context.
2. Characterise cumulative issues complicating cumulative impact assessments and, via a methods scan, deliver a list of options for addressing these issues
3. Develop a cumulative impacts framework that structures the sequence of analyses done for each assessment based on the characteristics of the sectors and ecological components involved– target, bycatch and protected species, and habitats and ecological communities
4. Perform an Australia-wide cumulative impacts assessment, with fishery-specific results, for (i) commonwealth fisheries across ecological components, (ii) indigenous and recreational sectors that interact with commonwealth fisheries for these components and (iii) and state and recreational fisheries where they overlap with Commonwealth fisheries.

Final report

Authors: E.A. Fulton Piers Dunstan Rowan Treblico
Final Report • 6.18 MB
2018-020-DLD.pdf

Summary

The world is changing more rapidly than any one individual can track. The Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999 (1999) (EPBC Act) requires for all human activities, such as fisheries, to be sustainable not only in isolation but in combination with other anthropogenic activities and the general state of the environment. It is difficult for fishery managers and operators to comply with this requirement without appropriate assessment methods. In addition, trying to understand the complete state of an ecosystem and all its interacting parts is a substantial and challenging task, especially for a nation with national waters as large and diverse as Australia’s.
In response researchers from the CSIRO and the University of Adelaide set about reviewing existing tools used to undertake Ecological Risk Assessments (ERAs) or Cumulative Effects Assessments (CEAs). This information then formed the basis for developing a new Cumulative Effects Assessment framework which was applied to 409 species around Australia to understand what the cumulative effects of fisheries are on Australia’s marine systems. This understanding and the recommendations made around strengthening existing assessment methods used by the Australian Fisheries Management Authority (AFMA) and other fisheries regulatory agencies will place Australia in a better place to ensure it is not only meeting regulatory requirements, but supporting sustainable industries and helping to coordinate across government agencies to safeguard healthy marine ecosystems into Australia’s future.
Final Report • 90.95 MB
2018-020 Appendices 5, 6, 7 and 8.pdf
Final Report • 5.33 MB
2018-020 Appendix 3 Review of ERA.pdf
Final Report • 3.02 MB
2018-020 Appendix 4 Review of Cumulative Effects Assessments.pdf
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